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Gear motor market to stagnate
齒輪電機市場停滯不前

The global market for geared products has experienced ups and downs in recent years, with a strong recovery in 2010 and 2011 followed by a contraction in 2012 and slight recovery in 2013. The global geared products market is estimated to have been worth over $12 billion in 2014, showing slight growth from 2013. However, the recovery trend is expected to halt market growth and lead to stagnation in 2015 and 2016, primarily because of the poor performance of the gearboxes market, which is predicted to be hurt by the performance of the downstream process industry sectors under the circumstance of a volatile global economy and geopolitical uncertainties.

近年來，全球齒輪產(chǎn)品市場可謂跌宕起伏，2010和2011年強勁復(fù)蘇，2012年收縮，隨后在2013年略有回升。2014年，全球齒輪產(chǎn)品市場估值超120億美元，較2013年略有增長。然而，預(yù)計復(fù)蘇態(tài)勢將中斷市場增長，并導(dǎo)致2015和2016年市場停滯不前，主要是因為在全球經(jīng)濟和地緣政治不確定性的情況下，受下游過程行業(yè)不穩(wěn)定的表現(xiàn)影響，齒輪電機市場業(yè)績不佳。

IHS predicts the global market for geared products to gradually pick up growth from the middle of the forecast period with a revenue CAGR of 1.6% from 2014 to 2019 to achieve $13.0 billion in 2019. In terms of regional markets, Asia Pacific was still the largest regional market for geared products in 2014, accounting for 46% of global revenues with an estimated value exceeding $5.5 billion. EMEA was the second-largest regional market in 2014 with a value of over $4.3 billion, representing 36% of global revenues.

IHS預(yù)測全球齒輪產(chǎn)品市場從預(yù)測期內(nèi)的中期開始逐步回暖，2014年至2019年以1.6％的年均復(fù)合增長率增長，到2019年達130億美元。在區(qū)域市場方面，亞太地區(qū)仍然是2014年最大的齒輪產(chǎn)品區(qū)域市場，占全球收入的46％，估值超55億美元。 EMEA（歐洲、中東和非洲）地區(qū)是第二大區(qū)域市場，2014年價值超43億美元，占全球營收的36％。

The market for gearboxes continued to be much larger than the market for geared motors in 2014, accounting for an estimated 60.3% of market revenues. However, IHS forecasts that the market for gearboxes will grow much slower than the market for geared motors through 2019, with contraction occurring up to 2016; overall, the gearboxes market will generate a revenue CAGR of 0.9% from 2014 to 2019. This will be primarily because of the underperformance of its main downstream process industry sectors, especially mining and cement as well as metal processing. The market for geared motors is forecast to see a 2.8% revenue CAGR from 2014 to 2019, in part because the share of geared motors in discrete industry sectors is higher than that of gearboxes, and the discrete sector for geared products is forecast to grow faster than those of the process sector from 2014 to 2019. The geared motor market is projected to reach nearly $5.5 billion in 2019, accounting for approximately 42% of total geared products, up from 39.7% in 2014.

2014年，變速器市場仍然比減速機市場大得多，市場營收約占60.3％。但IHS預(yù)測，一直到2019年，變速器市場的增長將比減速機市場慢得多，并有所收縮直到2016年。總體來看，從2014年到2019年，變速器市場營收將實現(xiàn)0.9％的年均復(fù)合增長率，這主要是因為下游過程行業(yè)表現(xiàn)不佳，特別是采礦、水泥以及金屬加工。而同期的減速機市場預(yù)計將取得2.8％的年均復(fù)合增長率，部分原因是在離散行業(yè)減速機的份額比變速器大，而離散行業(yè)的齒輪產(chǎn)品將比過程行業(yè)的增長更快。預(yù)計減速機市場在2019年將達55億美元，在總體齒輪產(chǎn)品份額的比重隨之從2014年的39.7％上升到大約42％。

The performance of the geared product market is largely dependent on the underlying growth in the industries that use them, which include many machinery and process sectors. The materials handling sector is the largest sector for geared products, accounting for 15.5% of market revenues in 2014 with an estimated value of nearly $1.9 billion and the highest revenue CAGR from 2014 to 2019 at 4%. The food and beverage sector (including machinery and process) is the next largest sector for geared products, especially geared motors, and it is projected to also grow at the second-fastest CAGR of the downstream industries at 3.5% from 2014 to 2019. Mining, one of the major downstream sectors, is forecast to perform the worst across all industry sectors with a revenue CAGR of -3.4%, followed by metal processing.

齒輪產(chǎn)品市場的表現(xiàn)在很大程度上取決于其應(yīng)用行業(yè)，包括許多機械和加工行業(yè)的潛在增長。材料加工行業(yè)是應(yīng)用齒輪產(chǎn)品最多的行業(yè)，2014年占了市場收入的15.5％，營收將近 19億美元，2014至2019年的年復(fù)合增長率也是最高的4％。食品飲料行業(yè)（包括機械和加工）是齒輪產(chǎn)品的第二大應(yīng)用市場，尤其是減速機，2014年至2019年預(yù)計也是年均復(fù)合增長率第二快的下游產(chǎn)業(yè)，為3.5％。作為下游主要行業(yè)之一的采礦，將是所有行業(yè)中最糟糕的一個，年均復(fù)合增長率為-3.4％，其次為金屬加工。

In terms of market landscape, European suppliers continued to lead the total market for geared products in 2014, with eight out of the top-ten companies accounting for an estimated 45% of total global revenues in 2014. SEW-EURODRIVE remained the market leader in geared products, primarily because of its dominance in geared motors. Siemens was the market share leader for gearboxes and held the second -highest total geared product market share.

在市場格局方面，歐洲供應(yīng)商在2014年繼續(xù)領(lǐng)跑整個齒輪產(chǎn)品市場，擁有前十公司的八家，約占全球總收入的45%。SEW-EURODRIVE仍然是齒輪產(chǎn)品的市場領(lǐng)導(dǎo)者，在減速機領(lǐng)域占統(tǒng)治地位。西門子則在變速器領(lǐng)域市場份額領(lǐng)先，在齒輪產(chǎn)品總體市場份額占有率第二。